Kate Ryan, head of research at BNP Paribas Real Estate Ireland, cited a similar trend towards larger lot sizes in the Irish market. “Nine deals worth over €100
Which medium multirole fighter aircraft should India opt for in order to replace the existing MIG-21’s?
Look at the above picture.
The Gripen E is not under one flag, It’s parts are imported from OEMs based in:
- USA(Substantially High)
- Czech Republic
- South Africa
So all major IPRs are hold by these foreign OEMs which signifies the following:
- India has to negotiate with following OEMs outside sweden for ToT.
- It’s not possible to negotiate with all of them for ToT and manufacturing line also all these OEMs will agree for ToT is not a cent percent probability either, which signifies that the so called “Advance Manufacturing Facility” in India will be a Final assembly line just like Rafale , something we have been doing for past 6 decades or so.
- The Biggest Fool we are being made of is that Gripen-E isn’t even ready yet, Gripen-E had it’s maiden flight last month. I was astonished by excitement created by Indians on prototype flying, had it been Tejas, defence blogs, journalist had been filling pages to prove it’s piece of $hit. But that’s not case for Gripen, Shows typical “Gora skin Superior syndrome” mentality prevalent in India society, nevertheless back to topic. This proves two things:
- Gripen-E is neither battle Proven, criteria which we indians often try to impose on indigenous weapons to prove them inferior.
- Nor is it ready. It’s still a prototype.
Gripen is in similar condition to Eurofighter typhoon in MMRCA deal.
F-16 on the contrary defies all these logics, though it has it’s fare share of complexities as stated below:
If some recent news is to be trusted then F-16 or Gripen both have got some more challenge from IAF:
“Recent media reports say that a Senior Test Pilots of Indian Air Force hit out at Modi government on India flirting with ideas to procure either F-16 and Gripen-E of which both had failed under MMRCA technical trials hints at discord in Indian Air Force regarding the purchase of Single-engine fighter jet tender. Unnamed Senior Test Pilot of Indian Air Force who was part of Original MMRCA technical trials where both F-16IN and Gripen NG failed miserable called F-16 as Obsolete in terms of technology and growth potential of the air frame already has reached its peak a decade back and current offer of ” Block 70 ” is just glorified Block 50/52 Air frame with Block 60 Techs. Test Pilot also confirmed that Lockheed Martin technical deficiencies highlighted by Indian Air Force in detail after MMRCA technical trials are still not been addressed yet by the OEM and Limited technical trials which IAF plans to carry out to check same technical performance shortfalls recorded in last trials will again expose this deficiency in technical parameters. The pilot also lambasted Saab’s Gripen-E and added that Gripen-E is still uncompleted aircraft and carries many prototype equipment which is still under testing stages and it will take some time before aircraft will gain full operational status while airframe limitations of the aircraft will still presists to overcome failures recorded under MMRCA technical trials. Many Defence Analysts have criticised Government for flirting with ideas to build F-16s in India when the world over F-16s are been retired due to technological limitations. Analysts have hit out at the government since any order for F-16s could purely be to create a business opportunity for certain government friendly Industrial giants in India who are making a foray in defence sector to fulfil PM Modi’s ” Make In India ” in the Defence sector. Another section of Defence Analysts has also criticized Government for ignoring Homegrown fighter aircraft like LCA-Tejas MKII and 5th Generation AMCA Projects which are still in drawing board due to lack of commitment and support shown by the present government. Purchase of F-16 or Gripen can have serious implication for India’s Tejas MKII which analysts believe could be scrapped in favor of additional orders for this jet in future.”
- Even if I suppose this report is fake still there are many questions that questions this deal itself.
Further,Lets start one by one from all recent interviews and articles from LM representative and Westerrn Defense analysts:
“India traditionally drives a hard bargain for technology transfers or demand expansive that the US will unlikely concede such as state-of-the-art engine, AESA, and other technologies. Rather than drive a on these items for the sake of tightly controlled and restricted licenses, by getting their foot in the door with the F-16IN program, India can indigenously develop many marketable add-ons, upgrades, and system integration that do not compete with offerings US firms.”( )Now i don’t think atleast without AESA radar the deal is going to get signed if “Make in India” is truly be considered.“India operate the biggest fleet of Russian/Soviet fighters in the world, and is a major operator (one of the biggest after France) of French fighters. No one, presently, have the capability and motive to network these planes together into a combat cloud. To do so, they have to have the combination of critical mass (units operating or on order), experience operating / supporting them, technological base, and incentive / motive to do so. Chinese or Russians are not going to network US or European planes. French will do US/European, but not Russian or Chinese gear. US can integrate European (including French), but will not work on Russian or Chinese kit. Countries that do operate or intend to buy large fleets of European, American and Russian aircraft like Saudi Arabia, UAE or Iran do not have the technical capability of India in software and communications, the familiarity and logistical support of having operated aircraft from Europe, Russia/USSR, and USA when the F-16 deal goes through.Israel in theory have the technical capability, but not the critical mass or the motive to do so without an export customer. For Israeli arms makers, amortizing the cost over one customer (except India) is difficult when India can do much of the work themselves.Beyond this is integration of aircraft, there is the problem of mating platforms into resources from space to air to sea and undersea. i.e. , command and control networks, land or sea based SAMs and ECM resources, etc. which hardly anyone is interested in working with the hodgepodge of older gear that India has in abundance and is familiar with.”
- Now SU-30 is to be the mainstay of IAF for atleast 2 decades or so. So, if uncle sam is not interested in networking the F-16 with russian a/c or even weapons that might be turn off for The lion of Make in india.
“The wording of the deal which was signed at the Paris Air Show is very clear—it states only the “intent to partner together to meet India’s Make-in-India requirement through the establishment of an F-16 production line in India”. The most obvious takeaway from this is that the deal is not a firm agreement to manufacture the F-16 in India, but only a letter of intent to assemble the plane in India if and when the Indian Air Force (IAF) chooses that platform.The downside of this, for India, is that by some estimates, less than 40% of the F-16 is actually Lockheed technology. The remaining 60% is proprietary technology owned by hundreds of sub-systems manufacturers spread across the globe. This means that about 60% of the F-16 technology remains unavailable to India unless its signs deals with each of the hundreds and possibly thousands of sub-component manufacturers, some of whom are based in countries like Turkey that are less than enthusiastic about India.The F-16 engine, for example, belongs to another US company: General Electric. Its core crystal-blade technology is off limits to even the closest US allies. Also, given the slow growth of new engines globally and considering that India’s stated aim is to become a competitor, it hardly suits GE’s business interests to transfer such technology to India.”
- If all above three points are considered than this deal doesn’t sound much different than Indo-Russia SU-30 deal. Then for a similar deal it makes no sense to strain the decades long Indo-Russian relationship.
Here comes the LM representatives kicker:”FP: Do they have to be engineers? Lockheed: No, I mean people who have been trained through an ITI or equivalent technical training institution with a diploma. That’s a large amount of the workforce and it’s pretty similar in the US also. Then you need entry level engineers, designers, supply chain managers, software engineers, hardware engineers, supply chain integrators, business people – the whole spectrum. You also need skilled technicians and engineers for testing the systems, the worthiness of the aircraft itself. You start with technician level and then you have people at all of these levels. You would need systems engineers and industrial engineers who understand process flow and production line – so various kinds of engineers at every level and business managers who can understand both the flow of equipment and flow of money. This is like bringing up a whole new industry. Working with a company like TATA and TASL means they already have a lot of the processes understood which is a big benefit.”()
Only ITI and production facility based engineers, an production facility which being from the leading manufacturer will be atleast 50% if not less automated, raises questions:
- How many jobs for a automated facility like this? even if you say it will have the entire production facility and not just final assembly.
- What about R&D? as nothing mentioned about researchers, PHD
Why change of plans by LM about making India” the only manufacturer” to transferring only texas line to India and making india “one of the many manufacturer” needs to be addressed? Is this done to keep Pakistan safe or better word “to keep the Pakistani market safe.”
1.Whosoever wins, it’s not going to help much about the ongoing indigenous projects, probability may be it can curtail them.SAAB has only one strong point for TOT GaAn AESA radar, unfortunately that point too is diluted after DRDO has came up with the theory of same and IISC Bangalore starting it’s own GaAN manufacturing furnance. The only way it helps is India gets a private aerospace assembly line.
2.The so called propaganda of ToT telling that it should be so significant that it can be used to create India’s own fighter, or say India’s own LM/SAAB, forget it, no sane OEM will create a competitor of it’s own, So better get A$$ out of couch and start spending on R&D, there are no shortcuts.
3.It’s always not just the technical aspects but the political advantage you gain with such mega deals, Gripen has nothing to offer on this aspect too
A> Logic prevails: F-16 wins
B> Friendship prevails: Gripen wins
MY CONCLUSION: You can spend 18 damn Bn $ on a foreign fighter, your pen stops writting when allocating funds to LCA. I would personally favour LCA Mk-2 over both considering each and every above mentioned aspect anyday.
Thanks for A2A.
According to your logic if he have to favour Adani or Ambani he would have aked them to invest in their company instead of Kaveri.
I don’t understand why people in India hate Bussinesmens, the word Baniya is used as derogatory remark like we are doing some crime by earning profits. If this mentality doesn’t change and Indian govt contined trying models of commumist states in our democracy we will get results like Venezuel not China.
I never told i hate businesses or businessman. I have serious reservation against just Adani . I will explain:
Look at the below given picture:
You know what this is?
This is DPP-2016 CHAPTER-7: The Strategic Partnership Model
The following are the criterias for an SP:
2.Technology capability for Heavy Engineering manufacturing.
- Adani group is in a great deal of Debt already.
- Adani group doesn’t have any experience in Heavy Engineeering manufacturing let alone defense.
KSSL, Mahindra Aerospace, L&T defence, TATA(Also Dyanamatic technologies) are in either Aerospace/heavy engineering manufacturing or both businesses for more than a decade now also Ambani have been operating RDEL since 1997.
When there is a student working hard for years for a upcoming exam and suddenly a friend of examiner is selected for next round w/o giving exam, how will you feel?
Then how will you quantify the fact that a SP was allowed fairly even defying all the given points in SP?
Choice is yours!